Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.