CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
Mexico win 4-2 on penalties
We say: Mexico 1-0 Honduras (Honduras advances on aggregate)
Whether they are still resting on their laurels from the Gold Cup or are just in a slump, the Mexicans have not looked convincing in months and have found it difficult to find consistency at Azteca.
The Hondurans look quite comfortable hanging back and defending teams for long stretches, while they seem to have developed some solid partnerships at the back, all of which should enable them to squeak through this tie.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.63% . A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.31% .
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.4%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.71%) .
Result Mexico Draw Honduras 58.63% ( 0.06) 24.06% ( 0.01) 17.31% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.12% ( -0.16)
44.51% ( -0.14) 55.48% ( 0.14)
23.33% ( -0.12) 76.67% ( 0.12)
81.25% ( -0.03) 18.75% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.86% ( -0.05) 50.13% ( 0.05)
54.3% ( -0.18) 45.7% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 18.51% ( -0.14) 81.48% ( 0.14)
Mexico 58.62%
Honduras 17.31%
Draw 24.06%
Mexico Draw Honduras 1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.62% 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.06% 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.31%
How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras
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rhs 2.0
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