Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
Honduras national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
Honduras

Chavez (43', 43'), Alvarez (90+11', 90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Chavez (51'), Lozano (68'), Sanchez (92'), Sanchez (92'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130'), Romo (130')
FT
(aet)

Rosales (42'), Rosales (42'), Lozano (45+6'), Lozano (68'), Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson (86'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94'), Maldonado (94'), Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson (129')
Facusse (90+13'), Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115'), Maldonado (115')
Mexico win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.71%).

Result
MexicoDrawHonduras
58.63% (0.064 0.06)24.06% (0.010999999999999 0.01)17.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.12% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.143 -0.14)55.48% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.118 -0.12)76.67% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)18.75% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.052 -0.05)50.13% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.3% (-0.178 -0.18)45.7% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51% (-0.141 -0.14)81.48% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 58.62%
    Honduras 17.31%
    Draw 24.06%
MexicoDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 14.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras

Mexico
58.0%
Draw
18.0%
Honduras
24.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Funes Mori (26'), Dos Santos (31'), Pineda (38')
Gallardo (84')

Acosta (35'), Flores (58'), Garcia (60'), Fabricio Rojas Lazo (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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