Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.