European Championship
Jun 17, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Nicolae Stanciu 29' goal
  • Razvan Marin 53' goal
  • Denis Dragus 57' goal
  • Razvan Marin 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yukhym Konoplya 67'

Romania vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Ukraine

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result

Romania 48.54% (-0.38)
Draw 27% (-0.10)
Ukraine 24.46% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.61% (+0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.42% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 58.58% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 20.86% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 79.14% (-0.51)
Over 4.5 8.84% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 91.17% (-0.30)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 75.77% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 24.23% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 41.42% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 58.58% (-0.16)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 60.2% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 39.8% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 23.53% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 76.47% (-0.74)

Score analysis

Romania 48.54%
Draw 27%
Ukraine 24.46%
Romania
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.18)
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.8% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.26% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.46%

Build-up

Predicted Lineups