/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
-
Roman Yaremchuk
2'
-
Viktor Tsygankov
43'
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Artem Dovbyk
49'
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Heorhiy Sudakov
55'
-
Andriy Yarmolenko
73'
-
Yukhym Konoplya
84'
Moldova vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fviktor-tsygankov.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
Result
Moldova
38.06%
▲
(+1.24)
Draw
26.24%
▲
(+0.31)
Ukraine
35.7%
▼
(-1.54)
Both Teams to Score:
53.4%
▼
(-1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.78%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 2.5
51.22%
▲
(+1.37)
Over 3.5
26.95%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 3.5
73.06%
▲
(+1.21)
Over 4.5
12.61%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 4.5
87.39%
▲
(+0.81)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
73.76%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
26.24%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
38.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
61.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
72.4%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 0.5
27.61%
▲
(+1.54)
Over 1.5
36.87%
▼
(-2.01)
Under 1.5
63.14%
▲
(+2.02)
Score analysis
Moldova
38.06%
Draw
26.23%
Ukraine
35.7%
Moldova
1-0
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.54)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 38.06%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 38.06%
Draw
1-1
@
12.47%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
Ukraine
0-1
@
9.33%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.20)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.7%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.20)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.7%