/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcyplog.png)
-
Nichita Motpan
43'
-
Artur Craciun
45'+2'
-
Victor Stina
69'
-
Victor Stina
71'
-
Victor Bogaciuc
78'
-
Vitalie Damascan
90'+5'
-
Loizos Loizou
45'
-
Danilo Spoljaric
50'
-
Ioannis Pittas
54'
Moldova vs Cyprus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fmoldova.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.
Result
Moldova
56.76%
▼
(-2.20)
Draw
21.5%
▲
(+0.19)
Cyprus
21.74%
▲
(+2.02)
Both Teams to Score:
59.44%
▲
(+2.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.23%
▲
(+1.92)
Under 2.5
38.77%
▼
(-1.92)
Over 3.5
38.92%
▲
(+2.00)
Under 3.5
61.08%
▼
(-1.99)
Over 4.5
21.28%
▲
(+1.56)
Under 4.5
78.72%
▼
(-1.56)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
86.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
13.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
59.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
40.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5
68.74%
▲
(+3.02)
Under 0.5
31.26%
▼
(-3.02)
Over 1.5
32.39%
▲
(+3.37)
Under 1.5
67.61%
▼
(-3.37)
Score analysis
Moldova
56.76%
Draw
21.5%
Cyprus
21.74%
Moldova
2-1
@
9.84%
▼
(-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.81)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.82)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.56)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.29)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.76%
1-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.81)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.82)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.56)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.29)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.76%
Draw
1-1
@
9.84%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.41)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.5%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.41)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.5%
Cyprus
1-2
@
5.72%
▲
(+0.42)
0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-93.60)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-93.60)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.74%