Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Belgium
0 - 1
Slovakia

Mangala (29'), Tielemans (76'), Lukebakio (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schranz (7')
Schranz (41')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 Wales
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Slovakia
49.64% ( -2.64)	23.62% ( 0.32)	26.72% ( 2.31)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57% (

0.58)

43.43% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

0.57)

65.82% (

-0.57)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

-0.76)

17.61% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

-1.34)

48.19% (

1.34)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

2.14)

29.7% (

-2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

2.52)

65.76% (

-2.52)

Score Analysis

Belgium 49.65%

Slovakia 26.73%

Draw 23.62%

Belgium	Draw	Slovakia
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.62) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.65%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.73%