European Championship
Ukraine
Jun 26, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Belgium
  • Artem Dovbyk 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Faes 43'

Ukraine vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 21, 2024 2.00pm
Slovakia 1 - 2 Ukraine

Belgium

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 22, 2024 8.00pm
Belgium 2 - 0 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Ukraine 22.34% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 24.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Belgium 53.58% ▲ (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68% ▼ (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.57% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 49.43% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 28.52% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 71.47% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 13.66% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 86.33% ▲ (+0.24)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 63.32% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 36.68% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 26.53% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 73.46% ▲ (+0.69)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 50.49% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 49.51% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Ukraine 22.34%
Draw 24.08%
Belgium 53.57%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.08%
Belgium
0-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.57%

Form Data

Slovakia 1 - 2 Ukraine
Romania 3 - 0 Ukraine
Moldova 0 - 4 Ukraine
Poland 3 - 1 Ukraine
Germany 0 - 0 Ukraine
Ukraine 2 - 1 Iceland
Belgium 2 - 0 Romania
Belgium 0 - 1 Slovakia
Belgium 3 - 0 Luxembourg
Belgium 2 - 0 Montenegro
England 2 - 2 Belgium
Rep. Ireland 0 - 0 Belgium

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups