Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Ukraine national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Belgium national football team

Ukraine
0 - 0
Belgium


Dovbyk (69')
FT

Faes (43')

The Match

Match Report

Belgium navigate a safe passage to the last 16 of Euro 2024 despite flattering to deceive in a goalless draw with Group E rivals Ukraine, who are knocked out.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Championship clash between Ukraine and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Wednesday's Euro 2024 Group E clash with Ukraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Ukraine
Friday, June 21 at 2pm in European Championship

Belgium

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Romania
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawBelgium
22.34% (-0.493 -0.49)24.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.58% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (-0.377 -0.38)49.43% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.343 -0.34)71.47% (0.34400000000001 0.34)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32% (-0.675 -0.67)36.68% (0.675 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (-0.683 -0.68)73.46% (0.684 0.68)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.058000000000007 0.06)18.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (0.095999999999997 0.1)49.51% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 22.34%
    Belgium 53.57%
    Draw 24.08%
UkraineDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.34%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.31% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.57%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Belgium

Ukraine
15.5%
Draw
17.0%
Belgium
67.4%
534
rhs 2.0
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