Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.