European Championship
Jun 16, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT VELTINS-Arena
  • Nemanja Gudelj 39' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 75' yellowcard
  • Dragan Stojkovic 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jude Bellingham 13'

Serbia vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
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The match

Result
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

England

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.

Result

Serbia 26.48% (-0.63)
Draw 24.1% (-0.27)
England 49.42% (+0.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.11% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 45.72% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 31.96% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 68.04% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 16.04% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 83.95% (-0.48)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 68.9% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.58% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 67.42% (+0.13)

England Goals

Over 0.5 81.43% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 18.57% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 50.16% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 49.83% (-1.05)

Score analysis

Serbia 26.48%
Draw 24.09%
England 49.42%
Serbia
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.09%
England
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.56% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 8.18% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.37% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 4.59% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.26% (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.93% (+0.10)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.42%

Head to Head

European Under-21s Championship
Oct 16, 2012 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Connor Wickham 0'
European Under-21s Championship
Oct 12, 2012 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Craig Dawson 0' goal

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