/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
-
Isak Hien
49'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
18'
-
Sasa Lukic
45'+1'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
45'+2'
-
Strahinja Pavlovic
45'+2'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
60'
-
Dusan Tadic
70'
Sweden vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Fserbia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Sweden
53.84%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
24.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Serbia
21.46%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
48.71%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.19%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
52.8%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
25.57%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
74.43%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
11.72%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
88.28%
▼
(-0.10)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
80.44%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
19.56%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
48.52%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
51.48%
▼
(-0.16)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
60.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
39.44%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
23.86%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
76.14%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Sweden
53.83%
Draw
24.7%
Serbia
21.46%
Sweden
1-0
@
12.58%
▼
(-0.06)
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.83%
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.83%
Draw
1-1
@
11.71%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.7%
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.7%
Serbia
0-1
@
7.18%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.46%