Friendlies 1

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia

Hien (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Milinkovic-Savic (18'), Mitrovic (60'), Tadic (70')
Milenkovic (45+2'), Pavlovic (45+2'), Lukic (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Sweden and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Serbia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Serbia
53.84% ( 0.07)	24.7% ( -0.05)	21.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

0.17)

52.8% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

0.15)

74.43% (

-0.15)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.1)

19.56% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.16)

51.48% (

-0.15)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55% (

0.07)

39.44% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

0.07)

76.14% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sweden 53.83%

Serbia 21.46%

Draw 24.7%

Sweden	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.46%