International Friendlies
Jun 11, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • goal Anastasios Bakasetas 7'
  • goal Christos Tzolis 15'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Koulierakis 28'

Malta vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 4.30pm
Czech Republic 7 - 1 Malta

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
Germany 2 - 1 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result

Malta 21.24% (+0.35)
Draw 23.62% (+0.12)
Greece 55.14% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.64% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.23% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.76% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.13% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.87% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.92% (+0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 37.37% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 25.84% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 74.15% (-0.32)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 17.54% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 51.91% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 48.08% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Malta 21.24%
Draw 23.62%
Greece 55.14%
Malta
1-0 @ 6.45% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 5.53% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.18% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 23.62%
Greece
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.76% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 55.14%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Jurgen Degabriele 54' goal
  • Teddy Teuma 67' goal
  • goal Anastasios Bakasetas 39'
  • goal Taxiarchis Fountas 86'