With a sizeable gap between them in the FIFA World Rankings, Greece are set to see off Malta by at least a two-goal margin, having been buoyed by their impressive showing in Germany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
Malta	Draw	Greece
21.24% ( 0.35)	23.62% ( 0.12)	55.14% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

-0.06)

48.76% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

-0.06)

70.87% (

0.05)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

0.31)

37.37% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

0.31)

74.15% (

-0.31)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.19)

17.54% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91% (

-0.33)

48.08% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Malta 21.24%

Greece 55.14%

Draw 23.62%

Malta	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.24%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 55.14%