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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Greece national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Finland national football team

Greece
3 - 0
Finland

Ioannidis (23', 76'), Kallman (37' og.)
Koulierakis (51'), Konstantelias (67'), Zafeiris (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kallman (25'), Peltola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Greece and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Finland

All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Greece 1-1 Finland

 Both nations had garnered reputations of being quite defensively-minded in recent years, but Finland's results so far in 2024 suggest otherwise and Greece are now under new management. National team attendances have not been fantastic for Greece of late, as less than 200 saw them beat New Zealand last November, so the notorious rapturous atmosphere may not be present to give the hosts an advantage in Jovanovic's first game in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawFinland
65.56% (0.108 0.11) 19.75% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 14.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (0.262 0.26)42.59% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (0.26000000000001 0.26)64.99% (-0.259 -0.26)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.11 0.11)12.17% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (0.227 0.23)37.81% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (0.117 0.12)41.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (0.103 0.1)77.9% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Greece 65.56%
    Finland 14.68%
    Draw 19.75%
GreeceDrawFinland
2-0 @ 11.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.64% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.75%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Greece vs Finland

Greece
66.1%
Draw
22.9%
Finland
11.0%
118
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Greece
2-1
Finland
Mantalos (47'), Galanopoulos (70')
Kourbelis (34')
Pukki (27')
Toivio (31'), Kauko (71')
Sep 5, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Finland
1-0
Greece
Pukki (52' pen.)
Sparv (57'), Kamara (72')

Torosidis (39'), Kourbelis (45'), Pelkas (66'), Pavlidis (92')
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Greece
1-0
Finland
Granlund (25' og.)

Granlund (47')
Oct 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Finland
2-0
Greece
Soiri (46'), Kamara (89')

Manolas (74')
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Greece
0-1
Finland

Aravidis (52'), Papastathopoulos (94')
Pohjanpalo (75')
Arajuuri (48')
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