UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Greece
3 - 0
Finland

Ioannidis (23', 76'), Kallman (37' og.)
Koulierakis (51'), Konstantelias (67'), Zafeiris (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kallman (25'), Peltola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Greece and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Finland

All competitions

Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Finland
65.56% ( 0.11)	19.75% ( -0.07)	14.68% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.41% (

0.26)

42.59% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.01% (

0.26)

64.99% (

-0.26)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

0.11)

12.17% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.19% (

0.23)

37.81% (

-0.22)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.61% (

0.12)

41.39% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.1% (

0.1)

77.9% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Greece 65.56%

Finland 14.68%

Draw 19.75%

Greece	Draw	Finland
2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 65.56%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.75%	0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.68%