Nations League
Nov 17, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Juhani Pikkarainen 4' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Alho 10' yellowcard
  • Robert Ivanov 60' yellowcard
  • goal Anastasios Bakasetas 52'
  • goal Christos Tzolis 56'

Finland vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Finland

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
Greece 0 - 3 England

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Greece had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match.

Result

Finland 38.36% (+1.01)
Draw 26.29% (+0.13)
Greece 35.36% (-1.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.52% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 51.48% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 26.71% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 73.29% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 12.46% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 87.54% (+0.35)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 73.8% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 26.2% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 38.7% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 61.3% (-0.38)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 72.06% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 27.94% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 36.43% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 63.57% (+1.24)

Score analysis

Finland 38.36%
Draw 26.29%
Greece 35.36%
Finland
1-0 @ 9.81% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 3.74% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 38.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.32% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
Greece
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.36%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
  • Fotis Ioannidis 23' goal
  • Benjamin Kallman 37' goal
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 51' yellowcard
  • Giannis Konstantelias 67' yellowcard
  • Fotis Ioannidis 76' goal
  • Christos Zafeiris 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kallman 25'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 90'+4'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 18, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 34' yellowcard
  • Petros Mantalos 47' goal
  • Konstantinos Galanopoulos 70' goal
  • goal Teemu Pukki 27'
  • yellowcard Joona Toivio 31'
  • yellowcard Joni Kauko 71'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 5, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Teemu Pukki 52' goal
  • Tim Sparv 57' yellowcard
  • Glen Kamara 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vassilis Torosidis 39'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 45'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Pelkas 66'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 92'
Nations League
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albin Granlund 25' goal
  • yellowcard Albin Granlund 47'
Nations League
Oct 15, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pyry Soiri 46' goal
  • Glen Kamara 89' goal
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 74'
European Championship
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christos Aravidis 52' yellowcard
  • Sokratis Papastathopoulos 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulus Arajuuri 48'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 75'