Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 17' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 17' goal
  • goal Liam Scales 57'
  • goal Robbie Brady 88'

Finland vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
England 2 - 0 Finland

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Finland 54.02% (+1.76)
Draw 24.4% (-0.32)
Republic of Ireland 21.58% (-1.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73% (-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.47% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 51.53% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 26.67% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 73.32% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 12.44% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 87.56% (+0.13)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 81% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 19% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 49.44% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 50.56% (-1.00)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% (-1.52)
Under 0.5 38.6% (+1.52)
Over 1.5 24.66% (-1.48)
Under 1.5 75.34% (+1.48)

Score analysis

Finland 54%
Draw 24.4%
Republic of Ireland 21.58%
Finland
1-0 @ 12.17% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 10.11% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.6% (+0.36)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.32% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.4%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.58%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 14, 2020 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fredrik Jensen 42' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Jensen 67' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Connolly 81'
Nations League
Sep 6, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Jayson Molumby 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Arter 86' yellowcard
  • goal Fredrik Jensen 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Shaughnessy 89'