UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 0
Finland

Kane (57', 76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schuller (66')

Reaction

England's Ben White pictured in November 2022

Ben White's England future discussed by Lee Carsley after Finland victory

England interim manager Lee Carsley reveals that Arsenal's Ben White has asked to not be contacted regarding any future national team call-ups.

Sep 11, 06:25

Interim England coach Lee Carsley during Finland game on September 10, 2024.

Interim England boss Lee Carsley admits to remaining uncomfortable in spotlight despite Finland win

Interim England boss Lee Carsley admits he is still getting used to being in the spotlight after the Three Lions beat Finland by a 2-0 scoreline on Tuesday night.

Sep 10, 22:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 England
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Finland had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.

Result
England	Draw	Finland
74.51% ( 0.01)	16.69% ( -0.02)	8.8% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.28% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

0.11)

44.34% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

0.11)

66.71% (

-0.11)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

0.03)

10.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.31% (

0.07)

33.69% (

-0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.13% (

0.1)

52.87% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.43% (

0.06)

86.57% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

England 74.5%

Finland 8.8%

Draw 16.69%

England	Draw	Finland
2-0 @ 14.06% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 74.5%	1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 16.69%	0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.8%