UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
1 - 0
Finland

Ferguson (45')
O'Dowda (4'), Knight (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Finland
53.82% ( 0.23)	25.65% ( -0.17)	20.53% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.87% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

0.51)

57.24% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

0.41)

78.09% (

-0.41)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.31)

21.34% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71% (

0.47)

54.29% (

-0.47)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.04% (

0.22)

42.96% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.74% (

0.19)

79.26% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 53.81%

Finland 20.53%

Draw 25.64%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.81%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.53%