We said: Greece 2-1 Scotland
Although Scotland have most of their main men fit and ready this month - and they finally found a way to win at the end of 2024 - they may take a one-goal deficit back home.
Winners at Wembley a few months ago, Greece can be vibrant in the final third and are a tight unit, so the hosts should get their noses in front before heading to Hampden.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.