UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
0 - 1
Scotland

(Greece win 3-1 on aggregate)

Siopis (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McTominay (33' pen.)
Ferguson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League playoff between Greece and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Scotland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Greece	Draw	Scotland
65.39% ( 0.52)	19.52% ( -0.14)	15.09% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

-0.19)

40.64% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

-0.19)

63.03% (

0.19)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

0.08)

11.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.3% (

0.18)

36.69% (

-0.19)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.37% (

-0.63)

39.62% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.69% (

-0.59)

76.3% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Greece 65.38%

Scotland 15.09%

Draw 19.52%

Greece	Draw	Scotland
2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 65.38%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.52%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.09%