Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.