Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
  • Lumbardh Dellova 19' goal
  • Valon Berisha 38' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 58' goal
  • Vedat Muriqi 88' yellowcard
  • goal Orri Oskarsson 22'
  • yellowcard Aron Gunnarsson 44'
  • yellowcard Logi Tomasson 58'

Kosovo vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result

Kosovo 60.53% (-0.89)
Draw 22.55% (+0.29)
Iceland 16.92% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.65% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.66% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 27.72% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 72.28% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 13.12% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 86.87% (+0.12)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5 83.79% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 16.21% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 54.29% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 45.71% (+0.67)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 56.87% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 43.13% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 20.6% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 79.4% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Kosovo 60.53%
Draw 22.54%
Iceland 16.92%
Kosovo
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 60.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.99% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.09% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.54%
Iceland
0-1 @ 5.88% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 4.5% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.47% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.26% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.92%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 9, 2017 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gylfi Sigurdsson 40' goal
  • Johann Gudmundsson 67' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Atdhe Nuhiu 53' goal
  • goal Bjorn Sigurdarson 25'
  • goal Gylfi Sigurdsson 35'