Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%).