European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Romania0 - 3Netherlands
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole provides an in-depth analysis of Netherlands' 3-0 win over Romania in the last-16 stage of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and the best statistics.
Match Report
Netherlands secure their place in the Euro 2024 quarter-finals with a commanding 3-0 win over Romania thanks to a Cody Gakpo strike and a Donyell Malen brace.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Romania and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Romania could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash against the Netherlands.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Slovakia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | -2 | 4 |
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Romania had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Netherlands |
26.11% ( -0.46) | 26.82% ( -0.1) | 47.07% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
