UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
1 - 2
Romania

Kucys (7' pen.)
Slivka (48'), Kucys (77'), Gineitis (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marin (18' pen.), Dragus (65')
Burca (63'), Coman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Kosovo
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Nations League

Romania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Romania
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Romania
19.09% ( -0.49)	24.56% ( -0.21)	56.35% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 45.71% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.01% (

0.2)

54.99% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

0.16)

76.26% (

-0.16)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.74% (

-0.44)

43.26% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49% (

-0.37)

79.51% (

0.37)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.35)

19.43% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

0.57)

51.26% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 19.09%

Romania 56.34%

Draw 24.55%

Lithuania	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.09%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.28% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 56.34%