UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Marijampolės sporto centro stadione

Lithuania
0 - 1
Cyprus

Kalinauskas (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pittas (34')
Kyprianou (32'), Panayiotou (45+1'), Karo (56'), Chrysostomou (69'), Andreou (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Estonia (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Cyprus

All competitions

Last Game: San Marino 1-4 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Cyprus
53.43% ( -0.45)	23.15% ( 0.09)	23.41% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 56% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

-0.04)

44.35% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

-0.04)

66.73% (

0.04)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

-0.17)

16.56% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

-0.31)

46.33% (

0.31)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

0.29)

32.89% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

0.32)

69.46% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 53.44%

Cyprus 23.41%

Draw 23.15%

Lithuania	Draw	Cyprus
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.44%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.41%