Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Estonia
51.28% ( 2.7)	25.78% ( -0.73)	22.94% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55% (

1.1)

55.45% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36% (

0.9)

76.65% (

-0.89)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

1.66)

21.67% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

2.48)

54.82% (

-2.47)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-1.22)

39.48% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-1.15)

76.17% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 51.27%

Estonia 22.94%

Draw 25.78%

Lithuania	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.27%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.94%