Baltic Cup | Final
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 1Estonia
Matulevicius (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Estonia win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Estonia 4-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Lithuania 2-1 Estonia
Lithuania's good form should see them come into the match as favourites, especially considering that they have been strong defensively in their recent outings. Contrastingly, Estonia have been porous defensively as of late, and this could see them struggle in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Estonia |
51.28% ( 2.7) | 25.78% ( -0.73) | 22.94% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
