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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
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Giedrius Matulevicius
84'
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Maksim Paskotsi
50'
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Michael Schjonning-Larsen
71'
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Mark Anders Lepik
82'
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Martin Vetkal
90'+2'
Lithuania vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result
Lithuania
51.28%
▲
(+2.71)
Draw
25.78%
▼
(-0.73)
Estonia
22.94%
▼
(-1.98)
Both Teams to Score:
47.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.55%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 2.5
55.45%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 3.5
23.36%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 3.5
76.65%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 4.5
10.33%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 4.5
89.67%
▼
(-0.55)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
78.33%
▲
(+1.67)
Under 0.5
21.67%
▼
(-1.66)
Over 1.5
45.19%
▲
(+2.48)
Under 1.5
54.82%
▼
(-2.48)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
60.52%
▼
(-1.22)
Under 0.5
39.48%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 1.5
23.83%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 1.5
76.17%
▲
(+1.16)
Score analysis
Lithuania
51.27%
Draw
25.78%
Estonia
22.94%
Lithuania
1-0
@
13.08%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.34)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.27%
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.34)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.27%
Draw
1-1
@
12.16%
▼
(-0.33)
0-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.78%
0-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.78%
Estonia
0-1
@
7.95%
▼
(-0.63)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.94%
Ken Kallaste
86'