Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia
4 - 1
Faroe Islands

Tamm (43'), Anier (50'), Tur (83'), Kuraksin (89')
Hein (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Knudsen (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Baltic Cup clash between Estonia and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 4-0 Estonia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Faroe Islands
34.99% ( -1.38)	28.3% ( 0.15)	36.71% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.63% (

-0.55)

59.37% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

-0.43)

79.76% (

0.43)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

-1.16)

32.08% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

-1.35)

68.55% (

1.35)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

0.5)

30.98% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

0.59)

67.29% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Estonia 34.99%

Faroe Islands 36.7%

Draw 28.3%

Estonia	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.99%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.7%