Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Faroe Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 8.92% ( | 19.74% ( | 71.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 34.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( | 56.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40% ( | 60% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.35% ( | 90.65% ( |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( | 14.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( | 42.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 2-1 @ 2.2% ( 2-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.1% Total : 8.92% | 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 2.12% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.74% | 0-1 @ 16.85% ( 0-2 @ 16.21% ( 0-3 @ 10.39% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0-4 @ 5% ( 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0-5 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 1-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 71.33% |


