San Marino vs Cyprus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.