Friendlies 2

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino
1 - 4
Cyprus

Giocondi (81')
Giocondi (58'), Giocondi (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Satsias (45+2'), Kastanos (53', 54'), Kakoullis (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between San Marino and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 San Marino
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Cyprus

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Cyprus
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Cyprus
32.34% ( 1.21)	25.89% ( 0.3)	41.76% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

-0.85)

50.39% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67% (

-0.76)

72.33% (

0.76)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.38)

29.3% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.47)

65.27% (

-0.47)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

-1.11)

23.91% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

-1.62)

58.13% (

1.62)

Score Analysis

San Marino 32.34%

Cyprus 41.75%

Draw 25.89%

San Marino	Draw	Cyprus
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.75%