San Marino national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

San Marino
0 - 0
Saint Kitts


Nanni (33'), Capicchioni (52'), Cevoli (61'), Cevoli (61')
FT

Freeman (19'), Panayiotou (33'), Lewis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between San Marino and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 1-3 Saint Kitts
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 1-3 Saint Kitts
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
San MarinoDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
16.79% (0.166 0.17)21.85% (0.117 0.12)61.36% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Both teams to score 49.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.192 -0.19)47.7% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.178 -0.18)69.9% (0.184 0.18)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28% (0.096000000000004 0.1)41.72% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81% (0.084 0.08)78.2% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.152 -0.15)15.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (-0.29 -0.29)43.54% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 16.79%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 61.36%
    Draw 21.85%
San MarinoDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.059 0.06)
2-1 @ 4.54% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.4% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.79%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 7.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 61.36%

How you voted: San Marino vs Saint Kitts

San Marino
8.7%
Draw
6.5%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
84.8%
46
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 2
San Marino
1-3
Saint Kitts
Berardi (21' pen.)
Golinucci (23')
Tyrell (31'), Burley (45'), Panayiotou (49')
Tyrell (67')