Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.