CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 11, 2023 at 12am UK

St Lucia
2 - 0
Saint Kitts

President (49', 49'), Stanislas (75', 75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchum (35'), Mitchum (35'), Lewis (59'), Lewis (59'), Rogers (90+3'), Rogers (90+3'), Rogers (90+2')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Sint Maarten 1-5 St Lucia
Thursday, September 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-2 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
45.08% ( -0.27)	24.71% ( 0.06)	30.2% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 56.74% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

-0.17)

46.11% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

-0.16)

68.41% (

0.16)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.19)

20.53% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-0.3)

53.03% (

0.3)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.05)

28.6% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.06)

64.39% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 45.08%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 30.2%

Draw 24.71%

Saint Lucia	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.08%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.2%