Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 8, 2023 at 12am UK
 

Saint Kitts
1 - 2
Guadeloupe

Williams (45+1', 45+1')
Freeman (12'), Freeman (12'), Clarke (43'), Vinicius de Souza Sampaio (63'), Sommersall (63'), Mitchum (66'), Mitchum (66'), Phaeton (68'), Burley (68'), Roberts (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Archimede (24', 24'), Arconte (77', 77')
Baron (43'), Arenate (53'), Avinel (58'), Avinel (58'), Burley (68'), Phaeton (68')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Guadeloupe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
Last Game: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Guadeloupe

All competitions
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-3 Guatemala
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.63%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawGuadeloupe
8.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)13.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.2% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)52.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.51% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.72%
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)6.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.72% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 8.8%
    Guadeloupe 77.2%
    Draw 13.99%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawGuadeloupe
2-1 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.02%
2-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 8.8%
1-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 13.99%
0-2 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 8.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 5.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-5 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-5 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-6 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 77.2%