CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 7, 2023 at 11pm UK

Football federation training ground

Sint Maarten
1 - 5
St Lucia

Amatkarijo (51', 51')
Kerssies (15'), Kerssies (15')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Poleon (45', 45', 48', 48', 89', 89'), Hackett (57', 57'), Stanislas (75', 75')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions

Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-2 Sint Maarten
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Saint Lucia

All competitions

Last Game: St Lucia 3-1 Dominica
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Sint Maarten	Draw	Saint Lucia
30.36% ( -0.03)	23.64% ( -0.02)	45.99% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.86% (

0.07)

41.14% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.47% (

0.08)

63.53% (

-0.07)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

0.02)

26.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

0.02)

61.04% (

-0.02)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

0.05)

18.15% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.88% (

0.09)

49.12% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Sint Maarten 30.36%

Saint Lucia 45.99%

Draw 23.64%

Sint Maarten	Draw	Saint Lucia
2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.64%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.99%