CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Anguilla
1 - 2
St Lucia

Carpenter (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Remy (18'), President (45+2')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Anguilla and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anguilla

Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Anguilla
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

Last Game: St Lucia 1-0 San Marino
Sunday, November 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 8.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Anguilla	Draw	Saint Lucia
8.15% ( 0)	13.72% ( 0)	78.13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.01% (

-0.01)

31.99% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.44% (

-0.02)

53.56% (

0.01)

Anguilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.01)

45.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

-0)

81.55% (

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.43% (

-0)

6.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.56% (

-0.01)

24.44% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Anguilla 8.15%

Saint Lucia 78.12%

Draw 13.72%

Anguilla	Draw	Saint Lucia
2-1 @ 2.5% 1-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 8.15%	1-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.4% 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.72%	0-2 @ 11.14% 0-3 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.91% 0-4 @ 6.89% 1-4 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-5 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-5 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.7% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 78.12%