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CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Jun 11, 2022 at 11pm UK
Football federation training ground
Turks and Caicos Islands national football team

Sint Maarten
8 - 2
Turks & Caicos

Lake (2', 18', 44', 65'), Hughes (14', 63'), Gerritsen (68' pen.), Jhamall Jacobs (90+4')
Forsythe (45'), Jhamall Jacobs (90')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Forbes (37', 45+3')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Sint Maarten and Turks and Caicos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

Last Game: Bonaire 2-2 Sint Maarten
Monday, June 6 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Turks and Caicos

Last Game: US Virgin Islands 3-2 Turks & Caicos
Monday, June 6 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint Maarten would win this match.

Result
Sint MaartenDrawTurks and Caicos
48.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (0.151 0.15)53.07% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.129 0.13)74.65% (-0.131 -0.13)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.94% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Turks and Caicos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.121 0.12)35.54% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.125 0.13)72.31% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sint Maarten 48.4%
    Turks and Caicos 25.83%
    Draw 25.75%
Sint MaartenDrawTurks and Caicos
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.83%

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