Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.