Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
 
Saint Lucia national football team

Saint Kitts
0 - 0
St Lucia


Ible (47'), Ible (47'), Williams (58'), Williams (58')
FT
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-1 Sint Maarten
Monday, October 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-0 St Lucia
Sunday, October 15 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawSaint Lucia
19.93% (1.314 1.31)20.96% (0.828 0.83)59.11% (-2.14 -2.14)
Both teams to score 58.47% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-1.857 -1.86)38.72% (1.859 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-1.987 -1.99)61.03% (1.988 1.99)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (0.232 0.23)32.93% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (0.256 0.26)69.51% (-0.255 -0.25)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-1.174 -1.17)12.82% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (-2.474 -2.47)39.15% (2.475 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 19.93%
    Saint Lucia 59.11%
    Draw 20.96%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawSaint Lucia
2-1 @ 5.35% (0.293 0.29)
1-0 @ 4.69% (0.428 0.43)
2-0 @ 2.6% (0.252 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.93%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.469 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.361 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.37 0.37)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 3.48% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-4 @ 3.13% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.29% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.11%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 12am
League B
St Lucia
2-0
Saint Kitts
President (49'), Stanislas (75')

Mitchum (35'), Lewis (59'), Rogers (90+3'), Rogers (90+2')