CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Raoul Illidge Sports Complex
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Sint Maarten
2 - 3
Saint Kitts

Lake (18'), Kort (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (15', 47', 67')
Freeman (84')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 4-0 Sint Maarten
Sunday, September 10 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, September 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Sint MaartenDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
29.32% (0.012 0.01)21.43%49.25% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.12% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.012999999999991 0.01)21.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)39.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Sint Maarten 29.32%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 49.25%
    Draw 21.43%
Sint MaartenDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 1.2%
2-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.25%