CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard

Guadeloupe
4 - 0
Sint Maarten

Phaeton (23' pen.), Plumain (25' pen., 58'), Archimede (40')
Plumain (43'), Phaeton (78'), Saint-Maximin (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kerssies (11'), Richardson (25')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-2 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 1-5 St Lucia
Thursday, September 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawSint Maarten
68.84% (0.11500000000001 0.12)17.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.4% (-0.105 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (-0.245 -0.24)36.11% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (-0.269 -0.27)58.22% (0.276 0.28)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)9.52% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)31.9% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (-0.315 -0.32)39.09% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (-0.299 -0.3)75.81% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 68.84%
    Sint Maarten 13.4%
    Draw 17.76%
GuadeloupeDrawSint Maarten
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.07% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.75% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.76%
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 13.4%