CONCACAF Nations League
-
Matthias Phaeton
23'
-
Ange-Freddy Plumain
25'
-
Luther Archimede
40'
-
Ange-Freddy Plumain
43'
-
Ange-Freddy Plumain
58'
-
Matthias Phaeton
78'
-
Morgan Saint-Maximin
85'
-
Ties Kerssies
11'
-
Tyrell Richardson
25'
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
Result
Guadeloupe
68.84%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
17.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Sint Maarten
13.4%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
55.11%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.89%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
36.11%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
41.78%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
58.22%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 4.5
23.59%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
76.42%
▲
(+0.23)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5
90.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
9.52%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
68.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
31.9%
▲
(+0.10)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5
60.91%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
39.09%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
24.19%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
75.81%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Guadeloupe
68.84%
Draw
17.76%
Sint Maarten
13.4%
Guadeloupe
2-0
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 68.84%
2-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 68.84%
Draw
1-1
@
8.22%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.76%
2-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.76%
Sint Maarten
1-2
@
3.86%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 13.4%
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 13.4%