CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Valette
Saint Lucia national football team

Guadeloupe
2 - 0
St Lucia

Plumain (52' pen., 71')
Gravillon (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Solomon-Davies (46')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Guadeloupe
Friday, October 13 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Guadeloupe
Friday, October 13 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawSaint Lucia
58.77% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.12% (0.073 0.07)19.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.07% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.396 -0.4)45.2% (0.394 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.381 -0.38)67.54% (0.378 0.38)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.142 -0.14)15.04% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26)43.53% (0.262 0.26)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.292 -0.29)37.54% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.286 -0.29)74.32% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 58.76%
    Saint Lucia 19.11%
    Draw 22.12%
GuadeloupeDrawSaint Lucia
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.11%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 1am
League B
St Lucia
2-1
Guadeloupe
Elva (45'), Macfarlane (58')
Doxilly (25'), Joseph (72')
Roussillon (29')
Annette (90+1')