CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 13, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Melvin Doxilly 25' yellowcard
  • Melvin Doxilly 25' yellowcard
  • Caniggia Elva 45' goal
  • Caniggia Elva 45' goal
  • Javick Macfarlane 58' goal
  • Javick Macfarlane 58' goal
  • Lester Joseph 72' yellowcard
  • Lester Joseph 72' yellowcard
  • goal Jerome Roussillon 29'
  • goal Jerome Roussillon 29'
  • redcard Quentin Annette 90'+1'
  • redcard Quentin Annette 90'+1'

Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 11, 2023 12.00am
St Lucia 2 - 0 Saint Kitts

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2023 8.30pm
Guadeloupe 4 - 0 Sint Maarten

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Saint Lucia 20.17% (+0.01)
Draw 25.9% (-0.01)
Guadeloupe 53.93% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.72% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.51% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 58.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 20.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.07% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.12% (-0.01)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5 55.91% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 44.08% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 19.81% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.19% (-0.01)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 78.2%
Under 0.5 21.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.99%
Under 1.5 55.01%

Score analysis

Saint Lucia 20.17%
Draw 25.9%
Guadeloupe 53.91%
Saint Lucia
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.22% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.9%
Guadeloupe
0-1 @ 14.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 11.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-3 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.64%
0-4 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.91%