Saint Lucia national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2023 at 1am UK
 

St Lucia
2 - 1
Guadeloupe

Elva (45', 45'), Macfarlane (58', 58')
Doxilly (25'), Doxilly (25'), Joseph (72'), Joseph (72')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Roussillon (29', 29')
Annette (90+1'), Annette (90+1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Guadeloupe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, September 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 4-0 Sint Maarten
Sunday, September 10 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawGuadeloupe
20.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 43.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.48% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)80.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2%21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99%55.01%
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 20.17%
    Guadeloupe 53.91%
    Draw 25.9%
Saint LuciaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.17%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 14.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-3 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.64%
0-4 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.91%