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Filippo Berardi
21'
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Alessandro Golinucci
23'
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Tyquan Tyrell
31'
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Andre Burley
45'
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Harry Panayiotou
49'
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Tyquan Tyrell
67'
San Marino vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
San Marino Goals
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.73%
0-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 63.89%