UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 12, 2024 at 2pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
1 - 2
Kosovo

Golubickas (84')
Girdvainis (14'), Tutyskinas (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zhegrova (20'), Krasniqi (65')
Rrudhani (45+3'), Dellova (51'), Rexhbecaj (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Kosovo

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Kosovo
29.36% ( 0.1)	27.02% ( -0)	43.62% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07% (

0.05)

55.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

0.04)

77.03% (

-0.05)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

0.11)

34.26% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

0.11)

70.96% (

-0.12)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

-0.03)

25.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

-0.04)

60.27% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 29.36%

Kosovo 43.62%

Draw 27.02%

Lithuania	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.36%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.62%