UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti

Romania
3 - 1
Lithuania

Mihaila (4'), Marin (87' pen.), Mitrita (90+2')
Mihaila (65'), Tarnovanu (78'), Hagi (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kucys (34')
Matulevicius (8'), Lekiatas (46'), Slivka (53'), Jankauskas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Romania and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	3	1	4
2	Belgium	3	1	4
3	Slovakia	3	0	4
4	Ukraine	3	-2	4

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Lithuania
47.58% ( -0.02)	27.42% ( 0.01)	24.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.95% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.33% (

-0.03)

59.66% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.02% (

-0.02)

79.98% (

0.02)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

-0.02)

25.16% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.03)

59.88% (

0.03)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

-0)

39.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-0)

76.58% (

Score Analysis

Romania 47.58%

Lithuania 24.99%

Draw 27.41%

Romania	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.99%