Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 0-3 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.