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UEFA Nations League

Cyprus national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Romania national football team

Cyprus
0 - 3
Romania


Kousoulos (11'), Laifis (24'), Kastanos (31'), Avgousti (52'), Soteriou (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Man (16'), Marin (25' pen.), Dragusin (36')
Bancu (41'), Man (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Cyprus and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 0-3 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawRomania
8.16% (0.037999999999998 0.04)16.38% (0.067 0.07)75.46% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 40.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (-0.167 -0.17)45.13% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.161 -0.16)67.48% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.11% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)87.81% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)10.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)33.62% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 8.16%
    Romania 75.45%
    Draw 16.38%
CyprusDrawRomania
1-0 @ 3.38% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 8.16%
1-1 @ 7.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 16.38%
0-2 @ 14.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 75.45%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Romania

Cyprus
11.5%
Draw
9.7%
Romania
78.8%
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