Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.