/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fkoslog.png)
-
Orri Oskarsson
2'
-
Aron Gunnarsson
48'
-
Aron Gunnarsson
69'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
70'
-
Andri Gudjohnsen
72'
-
Vedat Muriqi
35'
-
Mergim Vojvoda
39'
-
Vedat Muriqi
45'+3'
-
Vedat Muriqi
52'
-
Leart Paqarada
75'
-
Vedat Muriqi
79'
Iceland vs Kosovo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Ffranco-foda.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
Result
Iceland
33.19%
▲
(+1.66)
Draw
27.24%
▲
(+0.35)
Kosovo
39.57%
▼
(-2.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.78%
▼
(-0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.37%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 2.5
55.63%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 3.5
23.21%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 3.5
76.79%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 4.5
10.24%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 4.5
89.76%
▲
(+0.49)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
68.63%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
31.37%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
32.26%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
67.74%
▼
(-0.75)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5
72.53%
▼
(-1.54)
Under 0.5
27.47%
▲
(+1.53)
Over 1.5
37.04%
▼
(-2.03)
Under 1.5
62.96%
▲
(+2.02)
Score analysis
Iceland
33.19%
Draw
27.24%
Kosovo
39.56%
Iceland
1-0
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.54)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.19%
2-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.19%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.24%
0-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.24%
Kosovo
0-1
@
11.13%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.37)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.56%
1-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.37)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.56%