MX23RW : Monday, April 21 20:13:23| >> :60:32:32:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2025 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena
Northern Ireland national football team

Sweden
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Holm (7'), Nygren (32'), Sema (59'), Isak (64'), Elanga (77')
Saletros (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Price (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Sweden and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland's recent run deserves a lot of respect, and we fancy them to make it six games unbeaten on Tuesday night; Sweden are the favourites and will have home advantage, but O'Neill's side should be able to claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 81.59%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 1-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawNorthern Ireland
81.59% (2.143 2.14) 12.85% (-1.313 -1.31) 5.57% (-0.825 -0.83)
Both teams to score 38.81% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (2.686 2.69)39% (-2.681 -2.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (2.766 2.77)61.32% (-2.762 -2.76)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (1.082 1.08)7.36% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.45% (2.745 2.74)26.56% (-2.742 -2.74)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.89% (-0.77 -0.77)58.11% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.35% (-0.42 -0.42)89.66% (0.425 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 81.57%
    Northern Ireland 5.57%
    Draw 12.85%
SwedenDrawNorthern Ireland
2-0 @ 14.55% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 12.66% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.81 -0.81)
4-0 @ 8.26% (0.727 0.73)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.293 0.29)
5-0 @ 4.31% (0.586 0.59)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.268 0.27)
6-0 @ 1.88% (0.34 0.34)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 81.57%
1-1 @ 6.06% (-0.597 -0.6)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.562 -0.56)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 12.85%
0-1 @ 2.32% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 1.64% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 5.57%

How you voted: Sweden vs N. Ireland

Sweden
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Northern Ireland
31.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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