Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2025 at 6pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Holm (7'), Nygren (32'), Sema (59'), Isak (64'), Elanga (77')
Saletros (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Price (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Sweden and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Northern Ireland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 81.59%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 1-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Northern Ireland
81.59% ( 2.14)	12.85% ( -1.31)	5.57% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 38.81% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61% (

2.69)

39% (

-2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

2.77)

61.32% (

-2.76)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64% (

1.08)

7.36% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.45% (

2.74)

26.56% (

-2.74)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.89% (

-0.77)

58.11% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.35% (

-0.42)

89.66% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Sweden 81.57%

Northern Ireland 5.57%

Draw 12.85%

Sweden	Draw	Northern Ireland
2-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.81) 4-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.29) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.59) 5-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.27) 6-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.07% Total : 81.57%	1-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.37% Total : 12.85%	0-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.6% Total : 5.57%