UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
2 - 2
N. Ireland

Korac (72'), Rodrigues (75')
Curci (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Price (19'), Bradley (50')
Spencer (41'), Hume (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Northern Ireland
45.19% ( 1.38)	28% ( -0.27)	26.8% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 44.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41% (

0.37)

60.58% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

0.28)

80.68% (

-0.28)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.89)

26.78% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.93% (

1.17)

62.06% (

-1.17)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

-0.73)

38.85% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.69)

75.58% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 45.18%

Northern Ireland 26.8%

Draw 28%

Luxembourg	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.18%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.8%