Nations League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fluxlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnirelog.png)
-
Seid Korac
72'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
75'
-
Alessio Curci
80'
-
Isaac Price
19'
-
Brodie Spencer
41'
-
Conor Bradley
50'
-
Trai Hume
80'
Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fdion-charles.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Luxembourg
45.19%
▲
(+1.38)
Draw
28%
▼
(-0.27)
Northern Ireland
26.8%
▼
(-1.12)
Both Teams to Score:
44.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.41%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
60.58%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
19.31%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
80.68%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
7.94%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
92.05%
▼
(-0.16)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
73.22%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 0.5
26.78%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 1.5
37.93%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 1.5
62.06%
▼
(-1.17)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5
61.15%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
38.85%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
24.42%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
75.58%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
45.18%
Draw
28%
Northern Ireland
26.8%
Luxembourg
1-0
@
13.7%
▲
(+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.18%
2-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.18%
Draw
1-1
@
12.96%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-0 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
Northern Ireland
0-1
@
9.84%
▼
(-0.34)
1-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.8%
1-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.8%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Paddy McNair
11'
-
Daniel Ballard
17'
-
Ciaron Brown
87'
-
Enes Mahmutovic
45'
International Friendlies
-
Maxime Chanot
20'
-
Leandro Barreiro
41'
-
Marvin da Graca
58'
-
Josh Magennis
16'
-
Dion Charles
80'
-
Steven Davis
83'
-
Gavin Whyte
85'
International Friendlies
-
Kevin Malget
37'
-
Josh Magennis
82'
-
Tom Flanagan
91'
-
Daniel da Mota
81'
-
Tim Hall
84'
World Cup
-
Aurelien Joachim
45'
-
Stefano Bensi
78'
-
Mathias Jaenisch
88'
-
Martin Paterson
14'
-
Gareth McAuley
82'
-
Gareth McAuley
90'
World Cup
-
Dean Shiels
0'
-
Daniel da Mota
0'