UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 8, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Belarus

Bohnert (45'), Chanot (86'), Martins Pereira (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gromyko (76')
Ebong (53'), Martynovich (71'), Kavalyow (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Bulgaria
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Belarus
54.57% ( 0.14)	26.15% ( -0.01)	19.28% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 41.9% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.78% (

-0.12)

60.22% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.6% (

-0.09)

80.4% (

0.09)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.01)

22.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.01)

55.69% (

-0.01)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

-0.23)

46.11% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2% (

-0.17)

81.81% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 54.56%

Belarus 19.28%

Draw 26.15%

Luxembourg	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.56%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.28%