UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

ZTE-Arena

Belarus
0 - 0
Bulgaria

Yablonski (72'), Martynovich (89')

Krastev (29'), Petkov (56'), Minchev (89'), Dimov Iliev (90+1')
Krastev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belarus and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Israel
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Bulgaria

All competitions

Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.84%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Bulgaria
10.85% ( 0.78)	20.57% ( 0.37)	68.58% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 38.3% (

1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.61% (

0.46)

54.39% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24% (

0.38)

75.76% (

-0.39)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.02% (

1.82)

54.98% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.13% (

1.06)

87.87% (

-1.06)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.06% (

-0.22)

14.93% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.67% (

-0.41)

43.33% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Belarus 10.85%

Bulgaria 68.58%

Draw 20.57%

Belarus	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.67% Total : 10.85%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.57%	0-1 @ 15.61% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 14.84% ( -0.5) 0-3 @ 9.41% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.66% Total : 68.58%