Belarus national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion
Israel national football team

Belarus
0 - 4
Israel


Volkov (42'), Yablonski (90')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Melamed (6'), Safouri (18'), Shlomo (36'), Kna'an (82')
Safouri (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Belarus and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Russia
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 3-0 Israel
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawIsrael
14.38% (-1.596 -1.6)20.18% (-0.441 -0.44)65.45% (2.042 2.04)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-2.424 -2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-1.241 -1.24)45.1% (1.244 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (-1.2 -1.2)67.45% (1.205 1.21)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.62% (-2.931 -2.93)43.38% (2.937 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39% (-2.549 -2.55)79.61% (2.555 2.56)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.218 0.22)12.96% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (0.437 0.44)39.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 14.38%
    Israel 65.43%
    Draw 20.18%
BelarusDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 4.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.01% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-0 @ 1.96% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.38%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.392 -0.39)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.18%
0-2 @ 11.73% (0.79 0.79)
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.68 0.68)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 7.99% (0.598 0.6)
1-3 @ 6.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.08% (0.336 0.34)
1-4 @ 3.41% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-5 @ 1.67% (0.149 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.39% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.43%

How you voted: Belarus vs Israel

Belarus
29.0%
Draw
19.4%
Israel
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Israel
1-0
Belarus
Kanichowsky (90+3')
Peretz (56'), Turgeman (89')

Savitskiy (90+7'), Volkov (90+8')
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
1-2
Israel
Ebong (16')
Selyava (29'), Kavalyow (40'), Palitsevich (84')
Weissman (85' pen.), Gluh (90+1')
Davidzada (68'), Gluh (90+2')