Belarus vs Russia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.