Belarus national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadyen Dynama
Russia national football team

Belarus
0 - 4
Russia


Gromyko (36')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oblyakov (8'), Tyukavin (20'), Chalov (63', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Belarus and Russia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Belarus
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Russia 4-0 Serbia
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawRussia
22.53% (-0.219 -0.22)25.44% (-0.096 -0.1)52.02% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.9% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (0.153 0.15)54.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (0.126 0.13)75.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (-0.129 -0.13)39.38% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (-0.121 -0.12)76.08% (0.126 0.13)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (0.199 0.2)21% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (0.307 0.31)53.77% (-0.301 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 22.53%
    Russia 52.02%
    Draw 25.44%
BelarusDrawRussia
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 12.9%
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.24% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.02%

How you voted: Belarus vs Russia

Belarus
17.5%
Draw
22.5%
Russia
60.0%
40