Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bulgaria in this match.